BREAKING: SCOTUS RELISTS "ASSAULT WEAPON" BAN CASE AND WHAT IT MEANS...

Published on May 8, 2025
Duration: 20:49

The video discusses the US Supreme Court's relisting of the Snope v. Brown case, which challenges Maryland's "assault weapon" ban on AR-15 semi-automatic rifles. Relisting a case multiple times, especially 13 times as in Snope, statistically increases the likelihood of the Supreme Court granting cert (certiorari) and hearing the case, or resolving it summarily. This is contrasted with the Ocean State Tactical case, which is considered less likely to be heard due to its interlocutory nature.

Quick Summary

The US Supreme Court relisting the Snope v. Brown "assault weapon" ban case 13 times is statistically significant. Historically, cases relisted multiple times, like Dobbs v. Jackson (12 relists), have a higher probability of being granted cert for full review or resolved summarily, suggesting potential positive developments for Second Amendment challenges.

Chapters

  1. 00:00Introduction: SCOTUS and the Second Amendment
  2. 00:36The Snope Case and Supreme Court Relisting
  3. 01:43Understanding Case Relisting at the Supreme Court
  4. 02:05The Certiorari Process Explained
  5. 04:22Strategic Considerations for Granting Cert
  6. 05:10Snope v. Brown vs. Ocean State Tactical
  7. 06:36Ocean State Tactical Case Details
  8. 07:35Statistical Analysis of Relisted Cases
  9. 08:34John Elwood's Relist Watch Study
  10. 09:12Why Cases Get Relisted
  11. 10:07Dissenting Opinions and Relists
  12. 11:01Historical Second Amendment Relists
  13. 13:05Snope Case: 13 Relists and What It Means
  14. 13:33Statistical Odds for Relisted Cases
  15. 15:18Scotus Blog Analysis: Relists and Grants
  16. 16:42Statistics for Cases Relisted 5+ Times
  17. 17:37Snope Case Relists vs. Dobbs and Masterpiece Cake
  18. 18:31Record for Relists: Ham v. Smith
  19. 19:38Cautious Optimism for Snope Case
  20. 20:05Conclusion: The Future of Second Amendment Cases

Frequently Asked Questions

What does it mean when the Supreme Court relists a case?

When the Supreme Court relists a case, it signifies that the justices have not yet decided whether to grant or deny the petition for certiorari (cert). This deferral indicates ongoing deliberation, strategic consideration, or a need for further discussion among the justices before a final decision is made.

How many times has the Snope v. Brown case been relisted by the Supreme Court?

The Snope v. Brown case, which challenges Maryland's "assault weapon" ban, has been relisted 13 times by the US Supreme Court. This is a significant number and statistically suggests a higher probability of the Court granting cert.

What is the statistical likelihood of a relisted Supreme Court case being granted review?

Statistics show that relisted cases fare much better than non-relisted petitions. For cases relisted at least once, between 31% and 43% were eventually granted review between the 2016-2022 terms. The more relists, the higher the chance of review or summary disposition.

How does the Snope case compare to the Ocean State Tactical case in terms of Supreme Court review likelihood?

The Snope v. Brown case is considered more likely to be granted cert than the Ocean State Tactical case. Snope deals with a direct "assault weapon" ban and is seen as a cleaner legal question, whereas Ocean State Tactical involves a magazine ban on a preliminary injunction basis, which the Court often avoids hearing interlocutorily.

What is the significance of the Dobbs v. Jackson case being relisted 12 times?

The Dobbs v. Jackson case, which ultimately overturned Roe v. Wade, was relisted 12 times before the Supreme Court granted cert. This historical precedent indicates that a high number of relists, similar to the 13 relists for Snope v. Brown, can precede a significant ruling.

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